Receipt of social grants was also not a significant factor and was shown to be nonsignificant in the clientelism model of voting behaviour. Actors which also determine leadership behavior focus. Political scientists and psychologists have attempted to explain patterns in voting behaviour by using different models, but most models have similar elements they simply emphasise a specific element. Voting is central to the democratic process and to legitimating the officeholders and policies that it produces. Groups, coalitions, leaders roles and positions theories. It also proposes a reconceptualization of the concept of partisanship in order to integrate all relevant contributions of the three main models of voting behavior. Pdf theoretical models of voting behaviour researchgate. The analysis of voting behaviour of citizens, often takes up a huge amount of time by political parties in an attempt to realise where the support base for that party stands. The results, however, contradict the main thesis, suggesting that the effect of. To interpret voting behavior both political science and psychology expertise were necessary and therefore the field of political psychology emerged including. In the uk, income and class are more predominate in voting behaviour. The core component of the theory is a model of voting behaviour, which outlines how attitudes shape vote choices, influenced by the information that voters receive from political parties and other elites.
The positive affect that social class has on voting behaviour is that it is somewhat predictable as the social class voting pattern is seen to be constant, however, the negative aspect of social class affecting voting behaviour is that it produces class dealignment which is when there is a decline in the number of people voting according to. Patterns of political perceptions, attitudes and voting. The effect of these influences on voting behavior is best understood through theories on the formation of attitudes, beliefs. Party identification is one of the central explanatory concepts used in the analysis of voting behavior in mature democracies. It is a way of demonstrating a deep seated loyalty to a party. Theories of voting behavior span a wide range of alternative factors, from sociological effects of group membership to psychological factors of. This model places heavy stress on early political socialisation, seeing the family as the principal means through which political loyalties are forged. The application of survey research to the study of electoral behaviour was pioneered by social scientists. Pdf theoretical models of voting behaviour semantic scholar. Civettini, a 2017, voting behavior, theories of, in moghaddam, f ed. At times a group of people, with differing and inconsistent opinions, must come together to make a decision between several options. Understanding voters behavior can explain how and why decisions were made either by public decisionmakers, which has been a central concern for political scientists, or by the electorate. Five theories of voting action university of twente research.
Voting behaviour is the study of how people vote and the reasons behind this. Wattenberg in his book, entitled the decline of american political parties, which discusses the shift in the american electorate towards independent voting. This dissertation is an exercise in political psychology and psychologically oriented political science. Using historicdescriptive method in which secondary data are mostly used in order to come up with this correlation between ethnicity and voting behaviour in nigeria, the study noted that the former has significant impact in the way and manner political leaders are elected or recruited. Voting behaviour in the european parliament and economic. Theories of voting behavior span a wide range of alternative factors, from sociological effects of group membership to psychological factors of motivated reasoning.
Insincere voting is when a person casts a ballot counter to their actual preference for strategic purposes. The analysis of voting patterns invariably emphasizes on the determinants of why people vote. Nature of election, electoral system can affect voting, voters may choose to protest, abstain or vote tactically dominant ideology conspiracy theory, voters choice is manipulated by those in power using media social structures mainly class, but also age, gender. At the same time, countries vary substantially in the size of these gender gaps. System theory, institutional theory, discourse analysis, social identity theory, etc. The very first opportunity that media received to play its role in generating political awareness among public, although restricted and new born. In the party identification model, the act of voting is seen as expressive, not instrumental. Ordinary economic voting behavior in the extraordinary election of adolf hitler gary king, ori rosen, martin tanner, and alexander f. Psychology probably decisively entered the field of voting behavior research in 1939. A survey study of voting behavior and political participation in zhejiang article pdf available in japanese journal of political science 703. Rui antunes theoretical models of voting behaviour these results clearly contradict the initial hypothesis that the act of voting is an individual act.
So, in order to identify change, a point of reference is required. This study analyzes the psychological factors behind the voting behavior in kosovo. The psychology behind voting behavior south university. Five theories of voting action universiteit twente. Voting behaviour refers to factors that determine the manner in which a particular group of people vote for a specific political party or candidates that are up for elections. This article pays attention to classic and recent work on economic voting at both the individual level and in the aggregate. This chapter lays out a theoretical framework for understanding referendum behaviour. Ultimately, voting is viewed as an expression of who people think they are.
Gender differences in voting behavior and participation rates persist across democracies. Gender and political behavior oxford research encyclopedia. The psychology behind voting behavior in kosovo rit scholar. An extensive body of research demonstrates that governing parties tend to enact their promises, while an emerging literature on citizen perceptions shows that voters in the aggregate make accurate assessments of the fulfilment of. Sage reference voting behavior, theories of sage knowledge. Voting theory modeling voters modeling policy summary election theory how voters and parties behave strategically in democratic systems mark crowley department of computer science university of british columbia january 30, 2006 mark crowley election theory. This paper uses the unique social structure of arab communities to examine the effect of social identity on voter turnout. Introduction ast research in political science and studies of electoral behaviour have contributed to our understanding of trends in voting behaviour. Election theory how voters and parties behave strategically.
Economics, elections, and voting behavior oxford handbooks. This model places heavy stress on early political socialisation, seeing the family as the principal means through which political loyalties are. Voting behaviour and the influence of social protection. Wattenberg in his book, entitled the decline of american political parties, which discusses the shift in the american electorate towards independent voting and away from political party identification. Dworak 3 these theories of polarization are one of many factors in a framework of arguments presented by martin p. In the 2012 presidential election, the proportion of eligible women voting was 63. Various approaches and determinants of voting behaviour. Voting research voting theory princeton university. Partisan voting behavior in the american electorate. The framework highlights first that differences in political interest among individuals also lead to. In recent years a great deal of study has been devoted to the analysis of. The approach it takes to the study of voting is inherently psychological, yet the choice and scope of psychological theories is bounded by the discussion of voting behavior as it appears from the political science literature.
Theoretical models of voting behaviour1 semantic scholar. There have been discernible changes in voting patterns. There is a belief that political alignments reflect social cleavages. In recent years a great deal of study has been devoted to the analysis of voting behavior in nonauthoritarian nations.
Weisberg eds, controversies in american voting behaviour san francisco. Theories of voting partyidentification model the earliest theory of voting behaviour is based on the sense of psychological attachment that people have to parties. By adding these approaches, we find that the most widely accepted existing theories of this era cannot. Wagner the enormous nazi voting literature rarely builds on modern statistical or economic research. We first show that voters are more likely to vote for a candidate who shares their social group signified by last name as compared to other candidates. List of books and articles about voting behavior online. Does the factor theory of satisfaction explain political. Broadly speaking, behavior is political whenever individuals or groups try to influence or escape the influence of others. It first presents the question of pocketbook versus sociotropic voting. Theories of political behavior, as an aspect of political science, attempt to quantify and explain the influences that define a persons political views, ideology, and levels of political participation. Pdf a survey study of voting behavior and political. The psychology of voting action on the psychological origins.
Age, trust in institutions, clientelismrelated reasons for voting and perceptions of votebuying behaviour were not significant predictors. These theories of polarization are one of many factors in a framework of arguments presented by martin p. Much of the existing experimental work on stimulating voter turnout is inspired by theoretical accounts of why people vote or psychological theories of how individuals might be persuaded to take an action. In the party identification model, the act of voting is seen as expressive, not. Students are deeply immersed in analysis of individual psychological processes perception, emotion, motivation, and their relation to the votedecision, of group structures and func. This is the fundamental question on which models of voting disagree. Nondecisive voting has been explained as adherence to a social norm amarodematos and barros, 2004, as an autonomous response conditioned on repetition of past behavior bendor et al. Without intending to be exhaustive,several other stylised.
Voting is the main form of political participation in liberal democratic societies. Whereas scholarly work has traditionally showed meps voting behaviour to be primarily driven by ideology more specifically, by the meps party group affiliation, we expect to find. Theories of promissory representation posit that voters reward governing parties that carry out their previous election pledges and punish those that do not. Broadly speaking, behavior is political whenever individuals or groups. The study of voting behaviour, from the original investigations into american elections to the multitude of theories, country studies, and. Rice has been rated to be worthy of pilot writings within four landmarks in voting behavior p. Keywords political marketing, three factor theory, voting behaviour, paper type research paper. It refers to the enduring affective emotional attachment a voter feels towards a particular political party which disposes him or her to vote for that party in elections.
And comparative research offers support for this trend as well. Reviewing the theories of voting behavior 283 r eviewing the theories of voting behavior juichi aiba faculty of sociology abstract while quantitative methods on politics 1928 written by s. Green, in handbook of economic field experiments, 2017. This paper analyses meps voting behaviour on all regulations and directives forming the sixpack and the twopack together with the key vote required to establish the european stability mechanism esm.
Ordinary economic voting behavior in the extraordinary. Depending on the motives during voting, which are given attention, in the sociology of politics and political science there is a domination of three theories. Keywords political marketing, three factor theory, voting behaviour, paper type. Voting theory 39 insincere voting situations like the one in example 4 above, when there are more than one candidate that share somewhat similar points of view, can lead to insincere voting. Voting behaviour, influence of media, urban area, rural area, biradari introduction the experience of fair elections as well as independent media is not an old subject for pakistan. So research tries to identify these significant social cleavages.
Across several european democracies in the 1980s, women were voting at similar rates to men christy, 1987. The first major attempt to understand the mechanism causing the observed relationship between the state of the economy and voting was the attempt to discover whether voters were paying attention to the aggregate economy, or to their own pocketbook. Importantly, high turnout levels are not the sole empirical fact that theories of turnout should address. Voting behavior theories in the united states, 1940s to today voting behavior theories columbia school 1940s, 1950s voting, the peoples choice sociologists and marketing researchers community studies not national surveys emphasis on groups. Rational choice theory, cognitive theories, information. This entry provides an overview of theories of voting behavior. The first major attempt to understand the mechanism causing the observed relationship between the state of the economy and voting was the attempt to discover whether voters were paying attention to. Part of the selfexpression associated with passion about our political ideologies is the desire to encourage others to think and vote like us, says tamara avant, ph. While in democracies voting is, generally, a voluntary right, in totalitarian systems it is virtually a compulsory duty, and nonvoting may be considered an act of disapproval of government policies.
Context issues and events voting behaviour results 16. Accordingly, it is the subject of an enormous literature that offers a uniquely rich and varied insight into theory and methods in contemporary political science that also touches upon more general questions regarding human decision making, information aggregation problems. The burgeoning field of gender and political behavior shows that the way in which ordinary citizens connect to the democratic process is gendered. Rui antunes theoretical models of voting behaviour the central hypothesis of lazarsfeld et al. In contemporary elections, women tend to support leftist parties more than. Using last name as a measure of group affiliation, an inverted ushaped relationship between group size and voter. Aug 26, 2015 you will then need to create your own analysis of voting behaviour in the 2010 and 2015 general elections using these criteria. In particular, it highlights the criticality for voting behaviour of both the direct and indirect impacts of basic factor under performance.
The theoretical assumptions of the sociological model of. The analysis of voting patterns invariably focuses on the determinants of why people vote as they do and how they arrive at the decisions they make. Moreover everett rogers in study over the intermedia processes and powerful effects of media 1994 finds that media plays an important role in agenda setting, prioritizing the audience preferences as to which. In the us, when studying voting behaviour, the electorate is broadly divided by religion, ethnicity, and region. Key areas studies of voting behaviour are based upon finding the important variable that cause people to vote one way or another.
Psychological, economic and sociological models of voting. Topics include party identification, social class, gender and age, rational choice, issue voting, party competence, leadership, voting context model, media, impact on voter turnout, opinion polls, tactical voting, influence of campaigns, uk general election 2017, general election 2015, general election 2010. Essays in political economy and voting behaviour janemmanuel c. Voting behavior connotes today more than examination of voting records, compilation of voting statistics, and computation of electoral shifts. Alevel as and a2 politics revision section looking at voting behaviour.